publicidad
Texas has long been a Republican stronghold. But Latinos could make the state more blue.

Could the Latino vote make Texas more blue?

Could the Latino vote make Texas more blue?

While the traditionally red state may not go Democrat this year, Latino voters could have a bigger impact as one poll shows the presidential candidates in a dead heat.

Texas has long been a Republican stronghold. But Latinos could make the...
Texas has long been a Republican stronghold. But Latinos could make the state more blue.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a technical dead heat in Texas, with Clinton leading by one point, shows a Washington Post-SurveyMonkey poll of registered voters released Tuesday. The traditionally Republican state - where President Barack Obama lost by 16 points in 2012 - could become more blue this year, thanks in part to the state's growing Hispanic voter bloc.

Texas has the second-largest Hispanic population in the U.S. with 4.8 million eligible Latino voters, according to the Pew Research Center. And that number stands to grow: by 2020, Latinos will outnumber whites in the state, according to the Office of the State Demographer.

During the Texas primaries in March, Clinton and Ted Cruz won the Latino vote, with 71 percent for Clinton and 35 percent for Cruz. Trump came in third among Republicans with 26 percent. A July Univision poll found that nationwide, 67 percent of registered Latino voters plan support Clinton versus 19 percent for Trump.

About 30 percent of Texas voters are Latino, of which the vast majority are of Mexican descent. According to the Post, Trump is performing worse among the state's Hispanics and whites than Senator John McCain in 2008.

"Parties’ political success will be determined by which one best embraces the demographic changes occurring," warned a San Antonio Express-News editorial in May.

Among Texas voters, immigration and border security are the top two issues, polls show. With his anti-immigrant rhetoric, Trump may have helped spur a bump in naturalizations: in 2015, the number of new citizens grew 25 percent in Texas compared to 12 percent nationally.

publicidad

Lydia Camarillo, vice president of Southwest Voter Registration Education Project, the largest nonprofit Latino voter registration organization in the U.S., estimates that in November, between 22 and 24 percent of Texas voters will be Latino. "When it starts being over 20 percent, Latinos can decide the elections," she said. Still, it's a "very long shot" that Texas goes blue this year, she added.

However, less than half of Texas Latinos are eligible to vote, compared to 79 percent of whites in the state. Another issue is voter turnout: in 2012, only 39 percent of the state's Latino eligible voters cast ballots.

Hispanic voters could also face trouble at the polls, since Texas is one of 15 states that will have new voting restrictions in place for the 2016 election. Even though the state agreed to loosen voter ID requirements, voters there must still bring proof of their name and address.

"Texas would be as competitive as Florida in statewide elections if this untapped electorate voted," says a 2014 report by pollster Latino Decisions, which currently works for the Clinton campaign.

One issue is that Latino voters tend to be a lot younger. "It doesn't mean you don't care … they're a very, very savvy electorate," said Camarillo. "Except they're paying attention much later on in the elections." In Texas, that's a problem since registration ends Oct. 11, unlike in some other states which allow same-day registration.

Another issue is that campaigns spend very few resources on Latino voters, said Camarillo. In the last presidential election, Latino voters in Texas were the most undermobilized in the country, Latino Decisions found. Only a quarter of Hispanic voters in the state said campaigns or organizations contacted them encouraging them to vote.

publicidad

"[Political parties] continue to go to likely voters and have created this vicious cycle in which Latino voters are not engaged and don't turn out and vote," said Carlos Duarte, Texas state director of Latino advocacy group Mi Familia Vota. At the same time, he's seen a lot of excitement leading up to the election, with some voters coming to the group to register rather than the other way around.

"I think that the Latino vote is going to be crucial in determining who wins presidential election in the state of Texas," said Duarte. "It will come down to who shows up."

publicidad
publicidad
A scene form the new documentary A Long Way From Home about the desegregation of professional baseball.
Patients with chronic diseases are getting limited treatment in health centers and are still waiting for restoration of power and water supply. Univision News visited several hospitals.
Mayor Carmen Yulin Cruz reacted to comments on Twitter by President Trump in which he said Puerto Ricans “want everything done for them."
It is estimated that there are almost as many Puerto Ricans living off the island as the 3.4 million that reside there. After Hurricane Maria, almost all communication was lost between those on the island and in the diaspora. Univision sent a reporting team to the island before Maria's arrival. Part of their job now is helping connect families.
Two reporters from Univision News followed the track of Hurricane Maria, starting from the southeast where the eye made landfall all the way to the capital. This is what they saw from the road ...
An "extremely dangerous" Category 4 hurricane, Maria made landfall near Yabucoa in southeast Puerto Rico, causing widespread flooding across the U.S. territory of 3.4 million inhabitants. Maria caused rivers to flood all over the island. This video was taken in Guayama, on the south coast.
The 1998 hurricane killed 11,000 people in Honduras and Nicaragua and left more than a million homeless. As a result, the United States granted temporary visas to citizens from those countries who were living illegally in the U.S.
After a strong earthquake shook Mexico City, thousands of people evacuated their homes. The epicenter was 7.5 miles southeast of Axochiapan, in the state of Morelos.
Had Irma tracked 50 miles further north along Cuba's coast, the results could have been dramatically different, meteorologists say, causing devastation to the densely populated Greater Miami region. Also by tracking up Florida's west coast close to the shoreline deprived Irma of the warm Gulf water that fuels storms. Here is a compilation of the hurricane satellite images shared by NASA on social media.
The weather station in Key West, Florida, is sending weather balloons into the atmosphere to measure the powerful category 5 hurricane, which currently has winds of 175 miles per hour.
The Trump administration on Tuesday rescinded the DACA program that President Barack Obama introduced to protect the young undocumented immigrants known as Dreamers. Sessions said the program would be phased out over six months to allow Congress time to have another go at passing legislation.
Two brothers graduated from Harvard and Middlebury. They grew up in Houston and are practicing Christians. "Like "good Americans," they like Taco Bell. They have lived most of their lives in the United States and have a simple request for the president: "Do not get rid of DACA."
During a meeting in the Oval office Friday, the president was asked by reporters about the future of DACA, to which he responded that a decision was coming soon. "We love the dreamers, we love everyone," he added.
The program was established in 2012 by President Barack Obama to protect certain undocumented immigrants from deportation.
Nilsa Huete is an undocumented Honduran immigrant living in Key West, Florida. In the last five months, five of her family members have been arrested by agents from the Monroe County Sheriff's Office. Now she’s fighting against the deportation of her daughter and brother.
The Univision News anchor sat down with Chris Barker, leader of the "Loyal White Knights," a branch of the Ku Klux Klan. The interview was part of the special that aired Sunday on Aqui y Ahora.
"Quizás tengo problemas": Eduardo Yáñez "incapaz" de lidiar con la prensa
Cualquier situación mala o buena puede dejar un aprendizaje y Eduardo Yáñez nos contó que aprendió del violento episodio que protagonizó cuándo agredió a Paco Fuentes.
Padre confiesa que apuñaló a su bebé en el corazón y la sostuvo en el aire para que se desangrara
El hombre admitió que propinó cuatro puñaladas en el corazón de su hija y la alzó en el aire durante cinco horas para que se desangrara. Afirma que Dios le ordenó que lo hiciera.
Con la voz entrecortada, Eduardo Yáñez le mandó este mensaje a todo su público
El actor admite que gracias a las personas que han seguido y apoyado su carrera él está donde está pero asegura que no le permitirá a nadie que se meta en su vida personal.
El Gordo y la Flaca
Diviértete y mantente al tanto de noticias y chismes con 'El Gordo y La Flaca' que, junto a sus invitados especiales, te harán pasar grandes momentos.
publicidad
Kelly defiende la llamada de Trump a la familia del soldado muerto en Níger y critica a la congresista Wilson
El jefe de gabinete contó que en 2010, cuando su hijo Robert murió en Afganistán, el oficial que le dio la noticia le explicó que había fallecido haciendo exactamente lo que quería hacer. Rememorando esa respuesta, Kelly aconsejó a Trump sobre qué decirle a los familiares de los caídos en Níger.
Los republicanos texanos siguen firmes detrás de Donald Trump, según encuesta
A casi un año de su elección, el presidente obtuvo su aprobación más alta entre los votantes del estado cuando se les preguntó por su manejo de los huracanes en Texas, Florida y Luisiana, reveló un sondeo de la Universidad de Texas en Austin y el Texas Tribune. No obstante, un 92% de los demócratas texanos lo rechaza.
El joven texano acusado de matar a un niño autista es tío de la víctima y también sufre de autismo, dicen familiares
El padre de Andrew Henckel, el joven de 19 años que admitió haber ahogado a un niño (su sobrino) en una bañera, cree que su hijo fue manipulado para confesar un crimen que no cometió.
No más elefantes en los circos de Nueva York tras la firma de una ley que los prohíbe
El gobernador Andrew Cuomo firmó este jueves una ley que había sido aprobada en mayo pasado tras reportes de abusos contra esos animales en circos en el estado.
TBT: los mejores momentos del ‘Decision Day’ en 2016
Cada vez falta menos para la finalísima de la temporada regular de la MLS en 2017. Aquí te presentamos lo vivido hace un año en el cierre de la campaña.
Tras completarse la jornada diez América y Morelia podrían alcanzar 9 puntos en 8 días
Águilas y Monarcas están a las puertas de lograr la semana perfecta. Chivas y Lobos BUAP se podrían ir sin puntuar. Pumas, Puebla y Santos parecen haber despertado en la lucha por los últimos 12 puntos.
“Cruz Azul viene con sed de venganza, pero nosotros tenemos que avanzar en Copa”: Paul Aguilar
El defensor del América aseguró que, independiente de lo que haga el cuadro Cementero, las Águilas se tienen que concentrar en hacer un buen papel en Copa MX y luchar por el título de esa competición.
Víctor Guzmán, la joya que Chivas dejó ir de manera increíble
Nunca debutó en el Rebaño; hoy, es una de las grandes figuras de Pachuca y el máximo goleador mexicano de la Liga MX.