publicidad
Texas has long been a Republican stronghold. But Latinos could make the state more blue.

Could the Latino vote make Texas more blue?

Could the Latino vote make Texas more blue?

While the traditionally red state may not go Democrat this year, Latino voters could have a bigger impact as one poll shows the presidential candidates in a dead heat.

Texas has long been a Republican stronghold. But Latinos could make the...
Texas has long been a Republican stronghold. But Latinos could make the state more blue.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a technical dead heat in Texas, with Clinton leading by one point, shows a Washington Post-SurveyMonkey poll of registered voters released Tuesday. The traditionally Republican state - where President Barack Obama lost by 16 points in 2012 - could become more blue this year, thanks in part to the state's growing Hispanic voter bloc.

Texas has the second-largest Hispanic population in the U.S. with 4.8 million eligible Latino voters, according to the Pew Research Center. And that number stands to grow: by 2020, Latinos will outnumber whites in the state, according to the Office of the State Demographer.

During the Texas primaries in March, Clinton and Ted Cruz won the Latino vote, with 71 percent for Clinton and 35 percent for Cruz. Trump came in third among Republicans with 26 percent. A July Univision poll found that nationwide, 67 percent of registered Latino voters plan support Clinton versus 19 percent for Trump.

About 30 percent of Texas voters are Latino, of which the vast majority are of Mexican descent. According to the Post, Trump is performing worse among the state's Hispanics and whites than Senator John McCain in 2008.

"Parties’ political success will be determined by which one best embraces the demographic changes occurring," warned a San Antonio Express-News editorial in May.

Among Texas voters, immigration and border security are the top two issues, polls show. With his anti-immigrant rhetoric, Trump may have helped spur a bump in naturalizations: in 2015, the number of new citizens grew 25 percent in Texas compared to 12 percent nationally.

publicidad

Lydia Camarillo, vice president of Southwest Voter Registration Education Project, the largest nonprofit Latino voter registration organization in the U.S., estimates that in November, between 22 and 24 percent of Texas voters will be Latino. "When it starts being over 20 percent, Latinos can decide the elections," she said. Still, it's a "very long shot" that Texas goes blue this year, she added.

However, less than half of Texas Latinos are eligible to vote, compared to 79 percent of whites in the state. Another issue is voter turnout: in 2012, only 39 percent of the state's Latino eligible voters cast ballots.

Hispanic voters could also face trouble at the polls, since Texas is one of 15 states that will have new voting restrictions in place for the 2016 election. Even though the state agreed to loosen voter ID requirements, voters there must still bring proof of their name and address.

"Texas would be as competitive as Florida in statewide elections if this untapped electorate voted," says a 2014 report by pollster Latino Decisions, which currently works for the Clinton campaign.

One issue is that Latino voters tend to be a lot younger. "It doesn't mean you don't care … they're a very, very savvy electorate," said Camarillo. "Except they're paying attention much later on in the elections." In Texas, that's a problem since registration ends Oct. 11, unlike in some other states which allow same-day registration.

Another issue is that campaigns spend very few resources on Latino voters, said Camarillo. In the last presidential election, Latino voters in Texas were the most undermobilized in the country, Latino Decisions found. Only a quarter of Hispanic voters in the state said campaigns or organizations contacted them encouraging them to vote.

publicidad

"[Political parties] continue to go to likely voters and have created this vicious cycle in which Latino voters are not engaged and don't turn out and vote," said Carlos Duarte, Texas state director of Latino advocacy group Mi Familia Vota. At the same time, he's seen a lot of excitement leading up to the election, with some voters coming to the group to register rather than the other way around.

"I think that the Latino vote is going to be crucial in determining who wins presidential election in the state of Texas," said Duarte. "It will come down to who shows up."

publicidad
publicidad
Belén Sisa, a DACA beneficiary of Argentine origin, uploaded a photo to the social network in which she showed herself with a tax form. The young woman received threats from Trump supporters, but says she won't stay silent.
Havana biologist, Marta Llanes, has spent the last year raising two baby chimps in her 5th floor Havana apartment.
Guadalupe Contreras began looking for his son Antonio in 2012. He has not yet found him. But he has helped unearth hundreds of bodies.
A sketch that was provided anonymously to relatives guided them to an unmarked area in Veracruz where the skulls were found.
Tracey Tong, who is Peruvian and Chinese, tried to reason with a Puerto Rican woman who was verbally assaulting two people on the E train.
Jose Castillo's fear since Donald Trump became president turned into terror. The man who lived in the U.S. for more than 15 years fled his home country after gangs threatened to kill him. A few months ago, he stopped driving and sought shelter at a church in New York. From there, he asked the Canadian government for asylum.
The proposed U.S. policy was outlined in an enforcement memo sent out by secretary of Homeland Security John Kelly on February 20, but it was put into question two days later during a trip to Guatemala.
"The president is calling all immigrants criminals," says Díaz Chacón and adds "I am the proof that we are not criminals." In 2011 and being undocumented, Díaz Chacón, rescued a girl in New Mexico. His story went viral. Today he is a permanent resident and reflects on the latest changes in immigration policy.
Gina Potes and Patricia Espitia were attacked with acid in Colombia, a country with one of the highest number of attacks of this kind. They have created a sisterhood, which they have used to help other victims and raise awareness about these brutal attacks.
Figures show the US has admitted just over 18,000 Syrian refugees since the war broke out in the Middle Eastern country. It's estimated that 4 million Syrian children have only known war time.
A climate of fear around Trump's immigration policies has lead many parents in Immokalee, Florida, to prepare for the worst: deportation. Many are making plans for their children, in the case that they're left alone in the United States, such as coordinating a legal guardian. Others are processing passports for their children, so that the entire family can leave the country in the event of a deportation.
As the legend goes, a UFO landed in Capilla del Monte in 1986, leaving a mark on the side of the Pajarillo mountains. Since then, this Argentinian village has lived off UFO tourism. It's currently hosting its annual Alien Festival.
The young White House adviser who is one of the president's preferred spokesmen once ran for election at his California high school. His stump speech was found racially offensive by many students as you can see in this video obtained exclusively by Univision. He was escorted off the stage by high school staff.
Twelve percent of annual U.S. demand for avocados — or about 100,000 tons — will be consumed in the days before and after the Super Bowl. Mexican producers say that Trump's threats would only mean higher prices for U.S. consumers.
A day after Trump's inauguration, the U.S. capital was filled by hundreds of thousands of protesters who stole some of the limelight from the newly sworn-in president.
Obama’s inaugural poet, Richard Blanco, reflects on last week’s dramatic shift in U.S. policy towards Cuban immigrants, as well as Donald Trump and democracy.
Esta mujer nos contó cómo fue la noche de pasión que vivió con Juan Gabriel y de la que quedó embarazada
La señora Dora es la madre de la hija de Juan Gabriel y describió cómo fue su corta relación con el cantante.
Bruce, el pequeño hijo de Satcha, conoció al Rayo McQueen en Despierta América
El hijo de Satcha Pretto llegó de visita a Despierta América para poder conocer a su ídolo, el Rayo McQueen y a sus nuevos amigos.
Danilo Carrera le mandó un claro mensaje a los muchachones de Banda MS
Nos encontramos con nuestra 'cosita linda' en un importante evento en la ciudad de México y tienen que ver lo que dijo de algunas críticas que se dijeron sobre sus compañeros de trabajo.
Pequeños Gigantes USA Programa 29 Accede
Los pequeños continúan dando lo mejor para logar ser el ganador absoluto. Ángel, el talento extraordinario de ‘Los MVPGS’ nos cuenta como ha sido su vida y todos sus logros.
publicidad
Asamblea de Venezuela denuncia golpe de Estado del presidente Nicolás Maduro
El presidente del Parlamento de mayoría opositora, Julio Borges, dijo en una rueda de prensa que van a desconocer la sentencia del Tribunal Supremo de Justicia que en la noche del miércoles anuló cualquier función del poder legislativo tras declararlo en desacato.
Así es cómo los inmigrantes (con y sin papeles) son esclavizados hoy en EEUU
La organización Polaris, que documenta la esclavitud moderna, advierte de casos de abusos en sectores como la limpieza, la construcción, los restaurantes y la agricultura, tanto con indocumentados como con portadores de visas legales. En las denuncias, los hispanos son los más afectados.
Escuelas en Phoenix no permitirán el acceso de ICE a sus instalaciones
El Distrito Escolar #1 envió una carta a los padres afirmando su compromiso para proteger a sus estudiantes rechazando la aplicación de las leyes migratorias dentro de sus espacios.
¿Puede un hombre casado cenar con otra mujer? El vicepresidente cree que no y eso tiene a internet en un caliente debate
Pedir que todo el que tenga que trabajar hasta tarde con él sea un hombre, nunca cenar solo con una mujer que no sea su esposa, y no atender a un evento en donde haya alcohol a no ser que Karen Pence esté ahí con él es la ética del vicepresidente para conservar su matrimonio, una que ha generado un intenso debate en redes sociales.
Los 31 años de Sergio Ramos, el defensa que aprendió a definir en su etapa de delantero
El central del Real Madrid y de la selección española cumplió 31 años y en este informe te contamos todos los detalles poco conocidos de su carrera y también de su vida.
Guardado no pudo jugar para el Tri, pero sí lo hará para el PSV
El volante sufrió una molestia muscular que lo dejó afuera de los partidos ante Costa Rica y Trinidad y Tobago. Sin embargo ya está recuperado y el PSV celebró su regreso en las redes.
El atacante hondureño Romell Quioto se perderá entre dos y cuatro semanas por lesión
Houston Dynamo tendrá que lidiar con la ausencia del catracho tras sufrir una dislocación en su hombro izquierdo.
A nueve meses de su participación en la Euro, Islandia registra récord en bebés recién nacidos
De acuerdo con medios de comunicación locales, el fin de semana pasado se administró la mayor cantidad de epidurales en la historia del país.