What factors increase the probability of conviction in a criminal trial?

Interact with these seven variables to learn how they affect the probability of a defendant’s conviction. This model uses data from 6,795 offenses processed from 2004 to 2013 at the Second Circuit Criminal Court in San José, Costa Rica.

Type of crime

Defendant’s gender

Defense attorney’s gender

Defendant’s Nationality

Victim’s gender

Defense attorney’s experience

Prosecutor’s experience

Chance of being convicted

With public defense attorney

With private attorney

(*) In this type of crime, differences in outcomes is statistically insignificant. There is no evidence of contrasts in these cases.

These estimates reflect the confidence interval’s key value. For example, if probability is estimated at 65%, its confidence interval ranges from 58-72%. The true value is found within that range.